Who’s Afraid of the #1 Pick?
It's no wonder GM's are trading out of the top of this draft like their life depended on it -- it's scary on the top. The ghosts of drafts past haunt the decision makers of Wednesday...2001 Kwame Brown
1998 Michael Olowokandi
1995 Joe Smith
1980 Joe Barry Carroll
1956 Sihugo Green, drafted by Rochester over Bill Russell
What will 2007 hold? Andrea Bargnani and particularly Lamarcus Aldridge have the potential to be such picks. In a more dangerous way than Patrick O’Bryant’s Olowokandi-oozing potential, Aldridge’s tip-toes a precipitously fine line between the heights of MONCB (Myth of the Next Chris Bosh) and the abysmal depths of Mark Blountitude. Nowitzki and Tskitisivili are the popular poles Bargnani is thought capable of.
Many consider Brandon Roy (and even Randy Foye) the surest thing in the draft—but no one believes they could go to the head of the class.
Rudy Gaye is unanimously touted for his peerless (save perhaps Bargnani) potential; he is also consistently second-guessed for his as of yet inconsistent drive to be great. Adam Morrison doubtlessly has the epitome of this drive, but his lack of defense/foot speed could render him a hyped-up Sczerbiak/Dunlevy instead of a poor man’s Larry Legend.
So to place the present in context:2002: Yao Ming
2003: LeBron James
2004: Dwight Howard
2005: Andrew Bogut
2006: ???
Toronto hasn’t relinquished it’s hold of the top spot yet—and they might not before their 5 minutes to select is up. I’ll tell you right now who they should take—Morrison. Since no player in the top 7 is head-over-shoulders better than the rest, take the most coveted player available. That gives you the best chance to trade down for the player you truly want (Bargnani or Foye) and pick up assets in the exchange. Teams like Charlotte, Portland, Minnesota, and Seattle are desperate for a new face of the franchise, an identity fans and players alike can rally around. The other top prospects are raw, foreign, undersized, uninspired, gutless, or a combination of the above. And even if you have to keep him, he’ll fit nicely into a Colangelo-constructed up-tempo team.
Be afraid if they choose anyone else, Raptors fans. Because you’ll probably be stuck with ‘em.
posted by barkan at 11:12 AM
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